top of page
Search


Tuvia Multifamily Memo - December 2022
December 2022 By: Jason Tuvia How High are Cap Rates on LA Rent Control Multifamily? Within the past 90 days throughout all of Marcus &...
Jason Tuvia
Dec 7, 20224 min read

Ongoing Job Growth Reflects Economy’s Resilience, but Portends Fed Response
Hiring continues, but signs of slowdown emerging. The labor market welcomed 263,000 new jobs in September, above the long-term monthly...
Jason Tuvia
Oct 7, 20222 min read


Development Slowdown a Step Backward in Resolving Housing Shortages
Home purchases and prices stay on the descent. In the wake of the Federal Reserve’s fifth interest rate hike so far this year, borrowing...
Jason Tuvia
Oct 6, 20222 min read


Structural Inflation Drivers Prompt Rate Hike; Real Estate Capital Markets Responding
Federal Reserve enacts fifth rate hike of the year. Following accelerated core CPI inflation and ongoing above-average hiring last month,...
Jason Tuvia
Sep 21, 20222 min read


Rising Core Inflation Keeps Fed Alert; Food, Fuel Costs Hold CRE Implications
Headline and core inflation trend in opposite directions. In August, the headline Consumer Price Index recorded a year-over-year increase...
Jason Tuvia
Sep 16, 20221 min read


Housing Dynamics Signal Long-Term Tailwinds as Sector Exits Record Demand Stretch
After vacancies plunged to historic lows for many parts of the country in 2021, rates have trended up in the first half of 2022 as...
Jason Tuvia
Sep 8, 20222 min read

Home Listings Notch 20-Month High, yet Remain Just Half of the Long-Term Average
Rates resume climb, further cooling the market. After briefly dipping below 5 percent in early August, the average 30-year fixed-rate...
Jason Tuvia
Sep 7, 20221 min read

Job Growth Downshifts to Goldilocks Zone, Providing Runway for Fed to Pull Off Soft Landing
Last month’s employment report ideal for Fed objectives. Employers added 315,000 personnel to payrolls in August, below the 526,000 jobs...
Jason Tuvia
Sep 2, 20221 min read


Rental Demand Cools Off After a Record-Breaking Stretch, but Housing Market Dynamics Indicate Longer
After national vacancy plunged to a historic-low in 2021, the rate trended up in the first half of 2022 as inflationary impacts and broad...
Jason Tuvia
Aug 30, 20223 min read


Mortgage Rate Surge Thwarts Affordability; Apartments Offer Relief from Housing Shortage
The red-hot single-family sector rapidly cooled as the Federal Reserve stepped up its fight against inflation. Surging mortgage rates...
Jason Tuvia
Aug 22, 20224 min read

Multiple Real Estate Sectors Poised to Benefit from July’s Inflation Slowdown
Inflation trend may be turning corner. The headline Consumer Price Index in July was up 8.5 percent compared to a year prior, a...
Jason Tuvia
Aug 12, 20222 min read

Job Creation Jumps in July, Bolstering Economy Against Other Headwinds
Hiring accelerates in July, underscoring labor market strength. Concerns over the economy’s trajectory, following the reporting of GDP...
Jason Tuvia
Aug 8, 20222 min read

Living Cost Sensitivity and Slower Household Creation Modify Demand Flows
Sequence of rate hikes decay housing affordability. In late July, the Federal Reserve again lifted the overnight rate by 75 basis points...
Jason Tuvia
Aug 2, 20222 min read

Recession Call Elusive as GDP Declines Against Strong Labor, Property Markets
GDP contracts, but other economic indicators in the green. Real gross domestic product declined at an annualized rate of 0.9 percent in...
Jason Tuvia
Jul 28, 20222 min read


Inflation Accelerated in June, but Forward Indicators Suggest Relief Ahead
High inflation persists, but pressure may ease. The Consumer Price Index advanced 9.1 percent year-over-year in June, its fastest pace...
Jason Tuvia
Jul 19, 20222 min read

Yield Curve Inversion Reignites Recession Fears, but Many Indicators Refute Risk
Possible recession predictor lit up this month. In early July, the spread between the two-year and 10-year treasuries inverted, with the...
Jason Tuvia
Jul 15, 20222 min read

Hiring Continues in High Gear with Implications for Real Estate, Fed Policy
Job growth continues at consistent, above-average pace. Employers added 372,000 personnel to payrolls in June, bringing the total job...
Jason Tuvia
Jul 8, 20221 min read


Early Signs of Housing Price Recalibration as Higher Interest Rates Stunt Affordability
Prospective buyers deterred by decade-high mortgage rates. The Fed increased its overnight rate for a third time this year in mid-June to...
Jason Tuvia
Jun 29, 20222 min read

Fed Increasingly Aggressive in Effort to Curb Inflation; Rising Interest Rates Form Headwind for CRE
The Fed’s 75-basis-point hike in the federal funds rate underscores the central bank’s ardent goal to stabilize rapidly climbing prices,...
Jason Tuvia
Jun 16, 20224 min read

Employment Gains Echo Economic Stamina As Higher Interest Rates Add Hurdles
Job growth overcomes inflation concerns. Total employment increased by 390,000 personnel in May, consistent with April hiring, while the...
Jason Tuvia
Jun 3, 20222 min read
bottom of page